Author : C.Uday Bhaskar

Beijing is all set for its momentous, once-in-a-decade top leadership change on Thursday (November 8). The baton will pass from President Hu Jintao to his successor Xi Jinping, though, as China watchers point out, the 'princeling' Xi was not Hu's personal choice. The Prime Minister-designate Li Keqiang, who will take over from Wen Jiabao, was seen as President Hu's preferred candidate, but, clearly, there was opaque but intense factional contestation and the apex of the Chinese Communist Party has prevailed in favour of Xi Jinping.

Carefully-orchestrated form and the stern tranquility that characterise public life in China will be on display on November 8 as the Hu-Wen team steps down and the mantle of leadership for a 1.34-billion-strong country passes to the Xi-Li combine. But beneath this seeming tranquility and regulated placidity lurks a complex undercurrent of latent turbulence that will challenge the new leadership. Traditionally, domestic stability is the highest priority for the ruler in Beijing, be it the Emperor of eras bygone or Deng Xiaoping in 1989 - when tanks were called in to quell the student protests in Tiananmen Square.

With an export component that is almost 30% of its $7-trillion GDP, China is critically dependent on external trade and the global economic slowdown is bad news. While on a brief visit to Beijing a week before the November 8 transition, one had occasion to gauge the local mood and it was a mix of unstated anxiety and some misgivings about the current state of rectitude and institutional integrity in Chinese public life.

This sounds eerily similar to the high-octane, high-visibility corruption scandals that currently inundate the prime-time shows on Indian television but, in China, there is a big difference. Authoritarian regimes place great premium on silent societal compliance and the safety vents of a noisy and irreverent democracy are visible by their absence. Few of my Chinese interlocutors were willing to objectively discuss the past Hu decade or make any assessment about what the future holds. But the general mood of disappointment and muted anger about the Party was palpable and elliptically referred to.

These included the spate of high-profile corruption cases, viz, the better-known Bo Xilai scandal, the sex-orgy video that went viral on Weibo (China's social media equivalent), the death of a Hu Jintao top aide's son in a rash driving incident - and, most recently, allegations reported in The New York Times against PM Wen Jiabao for disproportionate wealth - have dented the image of an austere Communist Party that, though stern of demeanour, cares for its people. China needs to sustain its cracking 10% growth rate to ensure that the rising socioeconomic aspirations of its billion-plus masses are met, and this is proving to be elusive.

In the first half of 2012, the GDP growth figure slipped below the disturbing 7.5% benchmark and the amber lights are already flashing for the Xi-Li team. Modern technology that was used astutely and aggressively to reinvigorate the Chinese manufacturing sector over the last quarter-century to make the Panda the global export giant it has become has been a mixed blessing for the opaque Beijing Party leadership.

The same communication and cyber variant of technology has created a huge but unseen domain of Chinese 'netizens' and, irrespective of the many filters and controls put in place, today, the Party cannot control the flow of information and nothing can be hidden for too long. As one Chinese interlocutor put it, in the past, the people feared the Party and its oppressive security apparatus; the Party is unnerved by the mood of the people as reflected by social media and cyberspace.

Will sagacious leadership be able to calm the growing domestic turbulence where inclusive growth has become a mirage? Neither the Arab Spring nor the tectonic political changes in Myanmar has gone unnoticed, by the Party or the people. While there is appreciation that the Hu era more than quadrupled China's prosperity index and conducting a near-flawless 2008 Olympics, even while confidently demonstrating space and cyber capabilities, it is moot as to how this accretion of comprehensive national power has been harnessed by Beijing.

The last phase of the Hu period saw the 'rise' of China and its assertive profile roiling the region. The bilateral relationship with the US and Japan, two major economic partners, will have to be equitably managed, while the Beijing-Delhi orientation is stable but skewed. The tranquility and harmony that is so prized by the guardians of Tiananmen will have to be cognisant of the many turbulences that buffet the Hu-Xi transition.

( C Uday Bhaskar is a Visiting Fellow at the National Maritime Foundation. He can be contacted at cudayb@gmail.com . This article first appeared in The Economic Times on November 7, 2012.)
how to get hiv aids international aid organizations hiv transmission statistics
early abortion options west-bot.com vacuum aspiration procedure
mens symptoms of chlamydia go free std
married men who have affairs read women who cheat
women who like to cheat nookandlearn.com My boyfriend cheated on me
i had a dream i cheated on my boyfriend i cheated on my boyfriend how to get him back i have cheated on my boyfriend
reasons wives cheat on husbands developersalley.com reasons married men cheat
why do wifes cheat go signs of a cheater
marriage counselor joke classic adult jokes jokes stories humor funny go wife adult stories
what makes married men cheat my boyfriend cheated on me with my mom married affairs sites
surgical abortion stories myjustliving.com abortion at 12 weeks
walgreens prints coupon codes click walgreens photo prints coupon
free pharmacy card acup.fr prescription drugs discount card
other options besides abortion terminate pregnancy pill abortion deadline
walgreens coupon code prints coupon code for walgreens photos walgreens prints
why people cheat in marriage blog.gobiztech.com what makes people cheat
dapoxetine 60mg xifaxan 200mg viagra 25mg
valacyclovir pill blog.toolroom.at kamagra
best pharmacy discount card go new prescription coupon
viagra manufacturer coupon 2016 drug discount coupons viagra trial coupon
free viagra coupon floridafriendlyplants.com discount prescriptions coupons
can i take diovan with mucinex click can i take diovan with mucinex
can i take antabuse and naltrexone can i take antabuse and naltrexone can i take antabuse and naltrexone
cialis medicament prix http://cialis20mgsuisse.com/medicament/prix cialis medicament prix
cialis coupons online cialis discount coupons discount card for prescription drugs
internet drug coupons site prescription transfer coupon
lamisil cream boots bistromc.org lamisil cream cvs
augmentin eureka darkwoodsdojo.com augmentin et alcool
nexium 40 mg intellika.in nexium forum
etodolac abuse markthrice.com etodolac
levitra spc levitra koupit levitra original
motilium neryx.com motilium lekarna
citalopram hydrobromide 20mg open citalopram hydrobromide side effects
seroquel et alcool click seroquel xr
prescription discount coupon free discount prescription cards new prescription coupon
ondansetron orally totspub.com ondansetron 8mg
online cialis coupons online cialis coupons free cialis coupon 2016
vermox dosering vermox vermox 100 mg
risperdal compendium femchoice.org risperdal 1 mg
prescription drug coupons abraham.thesharpsystem.com free cialis coupon 2016
abortion pill costs abortions cost methods of abortion pill
imodium dosage imodium dosage for adults imodium instants
print free coupons alpinmontservis.cz coupons viagra
clomid testosterone bioselect-us.com clomid testosterone
viagra recenze viagra viagra wiki
dilation and curettage procedure vacuum aspiration abortion pill to terminate pregnancy
valtrex alkohol valtrex 500 valtrex 1000mg
vermox harshpande.net vermox
vermox tablete doziranje vermox sirup cijena vermox bez recepta
i want to do abortion alsarayabahrain.bh vacuum aspiration side effects
non surgical abortion pill albayraq-uae.com abortion pill complications
acetazolamide migraine acetazolamide sivuvaikutukset acetazolamide symptoms
abortion pill centers partial birth abortion average cost of an abortion pill
vermox cena vermox cena vermox spc
costs of abortion pill price of abortion pill information about abortion pill
lamisil para que sirve tracyawheeler.com lamisil para que sirve
amoxicillin al 1000 amoxicillin antibiyotik fiyat amoxicillin nedir
how much does an abortion pill cost buy abortion pill home abortion pill methods
facts on abortion pill lupidellamajella.it cost of abortion pill
coupons for cialis printable cialis.com coupons prescription transfer coupon
vermox doziranje vermox tablete nuspojave vermox tablete nuspojave
amoxicillin antibiyotik fiyat agama-rc.com amoxicillin nedir
discount coupons for prescriptions coupon cialis coupons for prescription medications
vermox suspenzija vermox doziranje vermox doziranje
cialis coupon 2015 cialis discount coupon cialis coupons from lilly
abortion pill laws partial birth abortion anti abortion facts
priligy resepti priligy kokemuksia priligy hinta
voltaren gel blog.griblivet.dk voltaren ampul
nootropil review nootropil review nootropil danmark
amoxicillin americanstreethockey.com amoxicillin endikasyonlar
drug coupon card cialis.com coupon discount card prescription
baby abortion story early pregnancy termination methods abortion clinics in chicago
revia medication reviews site naltrexone for alcohol abuse
what is low dose naltrexone used for link what is vivitrol
naltrexone pellets read naltrexone immune system
naloxone alcohol treatment go naltraxone implant
ldn treatment open naltrexone uk
naltrexone adverse effects site once a month shot for opiate addiction
revia drug link starting naltrexone
naltrexone side effects low dose low dose naltrexone withdrawal what does vivitrol do
naltrezone link naltrexone food addiction

Back To Top